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The nexus between exchange rates and stock markets: evidence from the euro-dollar rate and composite European stock indices using rolling analysis

机译:汇率与股市之间的联系:使用滚动分析从欧元兑美元汇率和欧洲综合股指中得出的证据

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Both the goods market hypothesis and the portfolio balance theory, suggest a nexus between exchange rates and stock prices, albeit with a different direction of causality. This paper, using daily data, takes up the issue of the linkages between stock prices and exchange rates in the case of the euro-dollar rate and two composite European stock market indices: the FTSE Eurotop 300 and FTSE eTX All-Share Index. It addresses the causal ordering issue between the two markets using rolling unit root, cointegration and Granger causality tests. This methodological approach allows for the emergence of a clearer picture of the possible dynamic linkages between exchange rates and stock prices. The empirical results provide evidence of time-varying causality between the two markets.
机译:货物市场假说和投资组合均衡理论都表明汇率和股票价格之间存在联系,尽管因果关系的方向不同。本文使用每日数据,探讨了欧元兑美元汇率和两个欧洲综合股票市场指数(FTSE Eurotop 300和FTSE eTX All-Share Index)之间的股价与汇率之间的联系问题。它使用滚动单位根,协整和Granger因果检验来解决两个市场之间的因果排序问题。这种方法论方法使人们可以更清楚地了解汇率与股票价格之间可能存在的动态联系。实证结果提供了两个市场之间时变因果关系的证据。

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    《Journal of Economics and Finance》 |2012年第1期|p.136-147|共12页
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