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Robust detection protocols for uncertain introductions of invasive species

机译:入侵物种不确定引入的鲁棒检测方案

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摘要

Two important features of real-world port inspections of shipping containers for invasive species are the general absence of underlying economic considerations and the climate of severe uncertainty that surrounds the likelihood of invasive species introductions. In this article we propose and illustrate a method for determining inspection protocols that address both of these issues. We seek inspection protocols that are robust in the sense that they maximize the range of uncertainty over which the expected loss from the introduction of an invasive species plus the costs of inspections do not exceed some critical value. These inspection strategies are practical and provide ready alternatives to existing protocols.
机译:现实世界中对入侵容器的运输集装箱进行港口检查的两个重要特征是,普遍缺乏基本的经济考虑因素以及围绕引入入侵物种的可能性的严峻不确定性。在本文中,我们提出并说明了一种确定可以解决这两个问题的检查协议的方法。我们寻求的检查方案应具有一定的鲁棒性,即可以最大程度地提高不确定性范围,在此范围内,由于引入入侵物种而导致的预期损失以及检查成本不会超过某些关键值。这些检查策略很实用,可以为现有协议提供现成的替代方案。

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