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Use of questionnaires and an expert panel to judge the environmental consequences of chemical spills for the development of an environment-accident index

机译:使用问卷调查表和专家小组来判断化学品泄漏对环境事故指数发展的环境影响

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Assessing the environmental consequences of a chemical accident is a complex task. To date, the methods used to evaluate the environmental effects of an acute release of a chemical have often been based on measurements of chemical and physical variables deemed to be important, such as the concentration of the chemical. However, a broader strategy is needed to predict the environmental consequences of potential accidents during the planning process. An Environment-Accident Index (EAI), a simple tool based on such a strategy, has been developed to facilitate the consideration of a multitude of influential variables. The objectives of this study were to evaluate whether questionnaire-based expert panel's judgements could provide useful data on the environmental consequences of chemical spills, and an effective basis for further development of the EAI. As expected, the judgements did not agree perfectly, but they do give rough indications of the environmental effects, and highlight consistent trends that should be useful inputs for planning, prevention and decontamination processes. The different accidents were also judged to have caused everything from minor to very major effects in the environment, implying that a wide range of accident scenarios were represented in the material and covered by the EAL Therefore, questionnaires and expert panel judgements can be used to collect useful data for estimating the likely environmental consequences of chemical accidents and for further development of the EAI. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:评估化学事故的环境后果是一项复杂的任务。迄今为止,用于评估化学品急性释放对环境的影响的方法通常是基于对重要化学物质和物理变量(例如化学物质浓度)的测量。但是,需要更广泛的策略来预测规划过程中潜在事故的环境后果。已经开发了一种环境事故征候指数(EAI),它是基于这种策略的简单工具,可帮助考虑多个影响变量。这项研究的目的是评估基于问卷的专家小组的判断是否可以提供有关化学溢出物的环境后果的有用数据,并为EAI的进一步发展提供有效的基础。正如预期的那样,这些判断并不能完全吻合,但是它们确实给出了对环境影响的粗略指示,并突出了一致的趋势,这些趋势对于规划,预防和净化过程应是有用的输入。还判断出不同的事故对环境造成了从轻微到非常大的影响,这意味着材料中代表了各种各样的事故场景,并被EAL涵盖。因此,可以使用问卷和专家小组的判断来收集有用的数据,用于估计化学事故可能对环境造成的影响,并进一步发展EAI。 (c)2005 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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