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Time-varying inflation risk and stock returns

机译:时变通胀风险和股票回报

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We show that inflation risk is priced in stock returns and that inflation risk premia in the cross-section and the aggregate market vary over time, even changing sign as in the early 2000s. This time variation is due to both price and quantities of inflation risk changing over time. Using a consumption-based asset pricing model, we argue that inflation risk is priced because inflation predicts real consumption growth. The historical changes in this predictability and in stocks' inflation betas can account for the size, variability, predictability, and sign reversals in inflation risk premia. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:我们表明,股票回报的通胀风险是股票回报,横断面的通胀风险预防和总体市场随着时间的变化而变化,即使在2000年代初期也会变化。此时间变化是由于价格和数量的通胀风险随着时间的推移而变化。使用基于消费的资产定价模型,我们认为通胀风险是价格的,因为通货膨胀预测了真正的消费增长。这种可预测性和股票通胀β的历史变化可以解释通货膨胀风险危险中的规模,可变性,可预测性和签署逆转。 (c)2019 Elsevier B.v.保留所有权利。

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