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Credit and social unrest: Evidence from 1930s China

机译:信贷和社会动荡:来自20世纪30年代中国的证据

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Do credit contractions trigger social unrest? To answer this question, we turn to a natural experiment from 1930s China, where the 1933 U.S. Silver Purchase program acts as a shock to bank lending. We assemble a hand-collected data set of loan contracts between banks and firms, labor unrest episodes, and underground Communist Party penetration. The Sil-ver Purchase shock results in a severe credit contraction, and firms borrowing from banks with a larger exposure to it experience increased labor unrest and Communist Party penetration among their workers. These findings contribute to understanding the socio-political consequences of credit shocks. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:信用缩放触发社会动荡吗?为了回答这个问题,我们转向19世纪30年代中国的自然实验,1933年美国银行购买计划充当银行贷款的冲击。我们在银行和公司,劳动骚乱发作和地下共产党渗透之间组装了一套手收集的数据集。 SIL-ver购买冲击导致严重的信用萎缩,并从银行借入其较大敞口的银行体验,体验增加劳动骚乱和共产党在其工人之间渗透。这些调查结果有助于了解信贷冲击的社会政治后果。 (c)2020 Elsevier B.v.保留所有权利。

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