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Non-life-threatening ailments and rational patience when expected treatment outcomes are continuously improving

机译:当预期的治疗结果不断改进时,非生命威胁的疾病和理性的耐心

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摘要

The time at which a rational patient chooses to undergo an elective medical procedure for a nonlife-threatening ailment is contemplated. The resulting model is purposely uncomplicated but general, and accounts for several basic factors that might affect such a decision. One such factor is that a patient cannot know with certainty the degree to which the medical procedure will be successful. Even so, patients have information about the expected outcome of the procedure and its risk, and about how the expected outcome and risk are affected by medical technological progress and surgeon experience. The effect of changes in exogenous variables on the timing of the medical procedure and on patient expected lifetime utility are investigated. It is shown that risk averse and prudent patients behave in an unambiguous manner in response to changes in all of the exogenous variables.
机译:考虑了理性患者选择进行非生命威胁性疾病的选修医疗程序的时间。 由此产生的模型是故意简单但一般的,并且占几种可能影响此类决定的基本因素。 一个这样的因素是,患者不能确定医疗程序将成功的程度。 即便如此,患者也有关于程序的预期结果及其风险的信息,以及如何受到医学技术进步和外科医生经验的影响。 研究了外源变量变化对医疗程序和患者预期寿命实用的影响。 结果表明,风险厌恶和谨慎的患者以响应于所有外源变量的变化而以明确的方式行事。

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