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The effect of spending cuts on teen pregnancy

机译：削减支出对青少年怀孕的影响

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摘要

In recent years, English local authorities have been forced to make significant cuts to devolved expenditure. In this paper, we examine the impact of reductions in local expenditure on one particular public health target: reducing rates of teen pregnancy. Contrary to predictions made at the time of the cuts, panel data estimates provide no evidence that areas which reduced expenditure the most have experienced relative increases in teenage pregnancy rates. Rather, expenditure cuts are associated with small reductions in teen pregnancy rates, a result which is robust to a number of alternative specifications and tests for causality. Underlying socio-economic factors such as education outcomes and alcohol consumption are found to be significant predictors of teen pregnancy. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译：近年来，英国地方当局被迫大幅削减转移支出。在本文中，我们研究了减少地方支出对一个特定的公共卫生目标的影响：降低青少年怀孕率。与削减预算时的预测相反，面板数据估计没有证据表明支出减少最多的地区少女怀孕率相对增加。相反，削减支出与青少年怀孕率的小幅下降相关，这一结果对于许多替代性规范和因果关系检验是有力的。人们发现，诸如教育结果和饮酒量等潜在的社会经济因素是青少年怀孕的重要预测因素。 （C）2017 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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