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Weathering the storm: Hurricanes and birth outcomes

机译:渡过难关:飓风和生育结果

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摘要

A growing literature suggests that stressful events in pregnancy can have negative effects on birth outcomes. Some of the estimates in this literature may be affected by small samples, omitted variables, endogenous mobility in response to disasters, and errors in the measurement of gestation, as well as by a mechanical correlation between longer gestation and the probability of having been exposed. We use millions of individual birth records to examine the effects of exposure to hurricanes during pregnancy, and the sensitivity of the estimates to these econometric problems. We find that exposure to a hurricane during pregnancy increases the probability of abnormal conditions of the newborn such as being on a ventilator more than 30min and meconium aspiration syndrome (MAS). Although we are able to reproduce previous estimates of effects on birth weight and gestation, our results suggest that measured effects of stressful events on these outcomes are sensitive to specification and it is preferable to use more sensitive indicators of newborn health.
机译:越来越多的文献表明,怀孕期间的压力事件可能会对分娩结果产生负面影响。该文献中的某些估计值可能会受到小样本,遗漏的变量,响应灾难的内生迁移率以及妊娠测量误差的影响,并且受较长妊娠与暴露概率之间的机械相关性的影响。我们使用数以百万计的个人出生记录来检验怀孕期间暴露于飓风的影响以及估算值对这些计量经济学问题的敏感性。我们发现,怀孕期间接触飓风会增加新生儿异常状况的可能性,例如在呼吸机上停留30分钟以上和胎粪吸入综合征(MAS)。尽管我们能够重现以前对出生体重和妊娠影响的估计,但我们的结果表明,压力事件对这些结局的测量影响对规范很敏感,因此最好使用更敏感的新生儿健康指标。

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