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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Hydroinformatics >Pipe burst diagnostics using evidence theory
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Pipe burst diagnostics using evidence theory

机译:使用证据理论进行管道爆破诊断

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摘要

This paper presents a decision support methodology aimed at assisting Water DistributionnSystem (WDS) operators in the timely location of pipe bursts. This will enable them to react morensystematically and promptly. The information gathered from various data sources to help locatenwhere a pipe burst might have occurred is frequently conflicting and imperfect. The methodologyndeveloped in this paper deals effectively with such information sources. The raw data collected innthe field is first processed by means of several models, namely the pipe burst prediction model,nthe hydraulic model and the customer contacts model. The Dempster–Shafer Theory of Evidencenis then used to combine the outputs of these models with the aim of increasing the certainty ofndetermining the location of a pipe burst within a WDS. This new methodology has been applied tonseveral semi-real case studies. The results obtained demonstrate that the method shows potentialnfor locating the area of a pipe burst by capturing the varying credibility of the individual modelsnbased on their historical performance.
机译:本文提出了一种决策支持方法,旨在协助Water DistributionnSystem(WDS)操作员及时确定爆管位置。这将使他们能够更系统地,迅速地做出反应。从各种数据源收集来帮助定位可能发生管道破裂的位置的信息经常会冲突且不完善。本文开发的方法可以有效地处理此类信息源。首先,通过几种模型处理现场收集的原始数据,即管道破裂预测模型,水力模型和客户联系模型。然后,Dempster-Shafer证据理论将这些模型的输出结合起来,目的是增加确定WDS内爆管位置的确定性。这种新的方法已被应用在大量的半真实案例研究中。获得的结果表明,该方法通过捕获基于各个模型的历史表现的不同可信度,显示了定位爆破区域的潜力。

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