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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of hydrologic engineering >Quantitative Analysis of Human-Water Relationships and Harmony-Based Regulation in the Tarim River Basin
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Quantitative Analysis of Human-Water Relationships and Harmony-Based Regulation in the Tarim River Basin

机译：塔里木河流域人水关系与基于和谐调控的定量分析。

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摘要

In recent decades, the Tarim River basin in northwestern China has seen intense confrontation between economic development and environmental protection. How to balance sustainable socioeconomic development and harmony between humans and water has been a critical issue facing local governments for many years. This study proposes a quantitative method of harmony theory that contains three basic criteria, heath, development, and coordination, to address the harmony problem regarding the human-water relationship in the basin. Indicators were used to quantify levels of health, development, and coordination in the basin. An optimal scheme is proposed, based on the three aggregate indicators. The evaluation results indicate the following: (1) health conditions in the middle and lower reaches of the river basin are not optimal. Development conditions in the lower reach are slightly better, and coordination conditions there are the poorest; and (2) the Aksu and Kaidu-Kongqi rivers have a relatively harmonious state, but remaining districts have relative disharmony. Scenario simulation results show that human system development and water system health are equally important for a harmonious relationship. When the human and water systems achieve coordinated development, the degree of harmony increased from 0.4230 to 0.6618. Regulation results are of scientific and practical value in basin-scale water resource management in arid regions.
机译：近几十年来，中国西北部的塔里木河流域经济发展与环境保护之间存在着激烈的对抗。多年来，如何平衡社会经济的可持续发展与人与水之间的和谐一直是地方政府面临的关键问题。这项研究提出了一种和谐理论的定量方法，该理论包含健康，发展和协调三个基本标准，以解决有关流域人水关系的和谐问题。指标用于量化流域的健康，发展和协调水平。基于三个总体指标，提出了一种最优方案。评价结果表明：（1）流域中下游健康状况不理想。下游的发展条件稍好一些，那里的协调条件最差； （2）阿克苏河与开都-qi旗河处于相对和谐的状态，而其余地区则存在相对不和谐的状态。方案模拟结果表明，人类系统的发展和水系统的健康对于建立和谐的关系同样重要。当人类和水系统实现协调发展时，和谐度从0.4230增加到0.6618。调控结果对干旱地区流域尺度水资源管理具有科学和实用价值。

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