Developing a Probabilistic Multicriteria Method for River Levee Performance Evaluation in Support of Diagnostic Analysis

Vuillet Marc; Peyras Laurent; Carvajal Claudio; Diab Youssef

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Developing a Probabilistic Multicriteria Method for River Levee Performance Evaluation in Support of Diagnostic Analysis

机译：为诊断分析的支持，开发一种概率多准则的河流堤岸性能评价方法

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France comprises 10,000km of river levees. Those levees show highly variable performances caused by the various types of design and construction, age, environment, loadings, and maintenance and repair works performed on them. Available information on levees also varies in quality and most often proves to be incomplete, uncertain, or imprecise. Based on this, a method for providing a quantitative evaluation of levee performance is suggested. Such a method, based on a multicriteria decision-making model and subjective probabilities, takes all available pieces of information into accountdesign, construction, visual inspections, and geophysical and geotechnical investigationsand reckons them with the level of uncertainty of the available data. This method provides decision-making support in identifying the least efficient sections and setting up investigation and maintenance programs.

机译：法国有10,000公里的河堤。这些堤坝的性能变化很大，这是由于各种类型的设计和构造，使用年限，环境，负载以及对其执行的维护和维修工作所致。有关堤坝的可用信息的质量也各不相同，并且通常被证明是不完整，不确定或不精确的。基于此，提出了一种用于对堤防性能进行定量评估的方法。这种方法基于多准则决策模型和主观概率，将所有可用信息纳入考虑，设计，施工，外观检查以及地球物理和岩土研究，并以可用数据的不确定性为准。该方法为确定效率最低的部分以及建立调查和维护程序提供了决策支持。

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来源
《Journal of Infrastructure Systems》 |2016年第3期|04016008.1-04016008.9|共9页
作者
Vuillet Marc; Peyras Laurent; Carvajal Claudio; Diab Youssef;
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作者单位

Univ Paris Est, LabUrba, EIVP, 80 Rue Rebeval, F-75019 Paris, France;

Irstea, Unite Rech Risques ECOsyst Vulnerabil Environm Re, 3275 Route Cezanne,CS 40061, F-13182 Aix En Provence 5, France;

Irstea, Unite Rech Risques ECOsyst Vulnerabil Environm Re, 3275 Route Cezanne,CS 40061, F-13182 Aix En Provence 5, France;

Univ Paris Est, LabUrba, Equipe Genie Urbain, 5 Blvd, F-77420 Champs Sur Marne, France;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
Levee; Performance indicator; Multicriteria method; Uncertainties; Subjective probabilities; Sensitivity analysis;

机译：堤岸;绩效指标;多准则法;不确定性;主观概率;敏感性分析;

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Developing a Probabilistic Multicriteria Method for River Levee Performance Evaluation in Support of Diagnostic Analysis

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