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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Infrastructure Systems >Assessing the Long-Term Performance of Cross-Sectoral Strategies for National Infrastructure
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Assessing the Long-Term Performance of Cross-Sectoral Strategies for National Infrastructure

机译：评估国家基础设施跨部门策略的长期绩效

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摘要

National infrastructure systems (energy, transport, digital communications, water, and waste) provide essential services to society. Although for the most part these systems developed in a piecemeal way, they are now an integrated and highly interdependent "system of systems." However, understanding the long-term performance trajectory of national infrastructure has proved to be very difficult because of the complexity of these systems (in physical and institutional terms) and because there is little tradition of thinking cross-sectorally about infrastructure system performance. Here, a methodology is proposed for analyzing national multisectoral infrastructure systems performance in the context of uncertain futures, incorporating interdependencies in demand across sectors. Three contrasting strategies are considered for infrastructure provision (capacity intensive, capacity constrained, and decentralized) and multiattribute performance metrics are analyzed in the context of low, medium, and high demographic and economic growth scenarios. The approach is illustrated using Great Britain and provides the basis for the development and testing of long-term strategies for national infrastructure provision. It is especially applicable to mature industrial economics with a large stock of existing infrastructure and challenges of future infrastructure provision.
机译：国家基础设施系统（能源，运输，数字通信，水和废物）为社会提供基本服务。尽管这些系统在大多数情况下都是以零散的方式开发的，但它们现在是一个集成且高度相关的“系统系统”。但是，由于这些系统的复杂性（从物理和机构角度而言），而且几乎没有跨部门思考基础设施系统性能的传统，因此了解国家基础设施的长期性能轨迹已变得非常困难。在此，提出了一种方法，用于在不确定的未来情况下分析国家多部门基础设施系统的绩效，并纳入跨部门需求的相互依存关系。在基础设施的提供（容量密集，容量受限和分散）方面考虑了三种截然不同的策略，并在低，中，高人口和经济增长情况下分析了多属性绩效指标。该方法通过英国进行了说明，并为制定和测试国家基础设施供应的长期策略提供了基础。它特别适用于具有大量现有基础设施以及未来基础设施提供挑战的成熟工业经济学。

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  • 来源
    《Journal of Infrastructure Systems》 |2014年第3期|04014014.1-04014014.12|共12页
  • 作者

    Jim W Hall; Justin J Henriques; Adrian J Hickford; Robert J Nicholls; Pranab Baruah; Mark Birkin; Modassar Chaudry; Tom P Curtis; Nick Eyre; Cliff Jones; Chris G Kilsby; Alex Leathard; Alexander Lorenz; Nicolas Malleson; Fraser McLeod; William Powrie; John Preston; Neha Rai; Roger Street; Anne Stringfellow; Chris Thoung; Pete Tyler; Roberta Velykiene; Geoff Watson; Jim W Watson;

  • 作者单位

    Environmental Change Institute, Univ. of Oxford, Oxford Univ. Centre for the Environment, South Parks Rd., Oxford OX1 3QY, U.K.;

    James Madison Univ., 801 Carrier 4113, Harrisonburg, VA 22807;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    Univ. of Oxford, Oxford Univ. Centre for the Environment, South Parks Rd., Oxford OX1 3QY, U.K.;

    School of Geography, Univ. of Leeds, University Rd., Leeds LS2 9JT, U.K.;

    School of Engineering, Cardiff Univ., Cardiff CF24 3AA Wales, U.K.;

    School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle Univ., Newcastle upon Tyre, Tyne and Wear NE1 7RU, U.K.;

    Univ. of Oxford, Oxford Univ. Centre for the Environment, South Parks Rd., Oxford OX1 3QY, U.K.;

    School of Computing Science, Newcastle Univ., Tyne and Wear NE1 7RU, U.K.;

    School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle Univ., Newcastle upon Tyne, Tyne and Wear NE1 7RU, U.K.;

    School of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Newcastle Univ., Newcastle upon Tyne, Tyne and Wear NE1 7RU, U.K.;

    Univ. of Oxford, Oxford Univ. Centre for the Environment, South Parks Rd., Oxford OX1 3QY, U.K.;

    School of Geography, Univ. of Leeds, University Rd., Leeds LS2 9JT, U.K.;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    Science and Technology Policy Research, Univ. of Sussex Falmer, Brighton BN1 9SL, U.K.;

    U.K. Climate Impacts Programme, Oxford Univ. Centre for the Environment, South Parks Rd., Oxford OX1 3QY, U.K.;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    Economist and Manager, Cambridge Econometrics Covent Garden, Cambridge CB1 2HT, U.K.;

    Dept. of Land Economy, Univ. of Cambridge, 19 Silver St., Cambridge CB3 9EP, U.K.;

    School of Computing Science, Newcastle Univ., Tyne and Wear NE1 7RU, U.K.;

    Engineering and the Environment, Univ. of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, U.K.;

    SPRU, Science and Technology Policy Research, Univ. of Sussex Falmer, Brighton BN1 9SL, U.K.;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Infrastructure; Assessment; Decision making; Uncertainty principles; Sustainable development; United Kingdom; Robust decision making; Infrastructure systems;

    机译：基础设施;评定;做决定;不确定性原则;可持续发展;英国;可靠的决策;基础设施系统;

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