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Inoperability Input-Output Model for Interdependent Infrastructure Sectors. Ⅱ: Case Studies

机译:相互依赖的基础架构部门的不可操作性输入输出模型。 Ⅱ:案例研究

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The paper discusses case studies of the inoperability input-output model (IIM) for modeling impacts of willful attacks on interdependent sectors. The IIM is a model for assessing sector vulnerabilities using the inoperability and economic loss impact metrics. The case studies focus on high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) attack scenarios. HEMP is an intense electromagnetic blast induced from high-elevation nuclear explosions, potentially causing damage to electronic and electrical systems. Parametric and uncertainty analyses are conducted for assessing (1) intensity of initial disruptions, (2) sector recovery characteristics, (3) economic loss reduction policies for critical sectors, and (4) regional scope of an attack. Sectors susceptible to a HEMP attack have been identilied. including electric power, electronic equipment, and workforce. Trade-off analyses are performed to analyze the efficacy of resotirce allocation strategies associated with recovery. Recommendations from this paper include developing cost-benefit-risk balanced solutions for managing and expediting recovery time from potential terrorist attacks.
机译:本文讨论了不可操作性输入输出模型(IIM)的案例研究,该模型用于模拟故意攻击对相互依赖的部门的影响。 IIM是使用不可操作性和经济损失影响指标评估部门漏洞的模型。该案例研究集中于高空电磁脉冲(HEMP)攻击场景。 HEMP是高海拔核爆炸引起的强烈电磁爆炸,有可能损坏电子和电气系统。进行参数和不确定性分析以评估(1)初始干扰的强度,(2)部门恢复特征,(3)关键部门的经济损失减少政策以及(4)攻击的区域范围。已经确定易受HEMP攻击的行业。包括电力,电子设备和劳动力。进行权衡分析以分析与恢复相关的资源分配策略的功效。本文的建议包括开发成本效益风险平衡解决方案,以管理和加快潜在恐怖袭击的恢复时间。

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