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Financial globalisation and monetary policy effectiveness

机译:金融全球化与货币政策有效性

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In theory financial globalisation has an ambiguous effect on monetary policy effectiveness. On the one hand, exposure to global financial cycles dampens the output effect of a tightening in monetary policy in financially integrated economies and thereby reduces monetary policy effectiveness. On the other hand, another salient feature of financial globalisation is that economies have become increasingly net long in foreign currency, which amplifies monetary policy effectiveness: economies experience larger valuation losses and wealth effects on their external balance sheets in response to an exchange rate appreciation when monetary policy is tightened, hence triggering stronger output effects. We quantify empirically the net impact of financial globalisation on monetary policy effectiveness through these two opposing channels. We find that since the 1990s the second channel has dominated so that financial globalisation has amplified monetary policy effectiveness in the typical advanced and emerging market economy. By our estimates, the output effect of a tightening in monetary policy has increased by 25% due to financial globalisation. Our results imply that financial globalisation has modified the transmission of monetary policy by strengthening the importance of the exchange rate channel. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:从理论上讲,金融全球化对货币政策的有效性具有模糊的影响。一方面,暴露于全球金融周期会削弱金融一体化经济体紧缩货币政策的产出效果,从而降低货币政策的有效性。另一方面,金融全球化的另一个显着特征是,经济体越来越多地使用外汇进行净多头交易,这放大了货币政策的有效性:经济体在经历汇率升值时会遭受更大的估值损失和外部资产负债表的财富影响。货币政策收紧,因此触发了更强劲的产出效应。我们通过这两个相反的渠道,从经验上量化了金融全球化对货币政策有效性的净影响。我们发现,自1990年代以来,第二种渠道已占主导地位,因此金融全球化在典型的先进和新兴市场经济中放大了货币政策的有效性。据我们估计,由于金融全球化,紧缩货币政策的产出效应增加了25%。我们的结果表明,金融全球化通过加强汇率渠道的重要性来改变货币政策的传导。 (C)2016 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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