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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of International Economics >Exporting out of poverty: Provincial poverty in Vietnam and U.S. market access
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Exporting out of poverty: Provincial poverty in Vietnam and U.S. market access

机译：摆脱贫困：越南和美国市场准入的省级贫困

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Can a developing country reduce poverty by gaining increased market access to a large, rich country? The 2001 U.S.-Vietnam Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) provides an excellent opportunity to examine this question as, unlike other bilateral trade agreements, the U.S. tariff cuts were not influenced by Vietnamese industries. Using variation in the structure of the labor force across provinces prior to the trade agreement, I construct provincial measures of U.S. tariffs. To address concerns over confounding trends between changes in provincial poverty and changes in provincial tariffs 1 follow two approaches: controlling for trends based on observable initial conditions and differencing away time invariant trends using pre-BTA data. I find that provinces that were more exposed to the U.S. tariff cuts experienced faster decreases in poverty between 2002 and 2004. Additionally, I document that the movement of workers across provinces is limited in scale, particularly for those with low levels of education. Finally, 1 show that the most exposed provinces experienced faster wage growth for workers with low levels of education, but not for highly educated workers.
机译：发展中国家能否通过增加进入富裕大国的市场准入来减少贫困？ 2001年《美越双边贸易协定》（BTA）提供了一个很好的机会来研究此问题，因为与其他双边贸易协定不同，美国的关税削减不受越南工业的影响。根据贸易协定之前各省劳动力结构的变化，我构建了美国关税的省措施。为了解决对省级贫困变化与省级关税变化之间混淆的趋势的担忧，1采取两种方法：基于可观察的初始条件控制趋势，以及使用BTA之前的数据区分时不变趋势。我发现，在2002年至2004年之间，遭受美国减税影响更大的省份的贫困减少速度更快。此外，我记录到，跨省份的工人流动规模有限，尤其是那些教育程度较低的省份。最后，1表明，受教育程度最低的工人，工资最高的省份的工资增长较快，但受过高等教育的工人的省份却没有。

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