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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of International Money and Finance >More evidence on the dollar risk premium in the foreign exchange market
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More evidence on the dollar risk premium in the foreign exchange market

机译:有关外汇市场美元风险溢价的更多证据

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摘要

In this article, we develop and estimate an econometric panel data model to capture the common dynamics in dollar risk premia in various forward foreign exchange rates. The common component in the dollar risk premium is highly significant and embodies a common pattern of positive serial correlation (persistence) for the pound, the yen and the mark. Interestingly, our results indicate that the dynamics of the forward prediction error can be attributed almost exclusively to this dollar-related common component. Our evidence also suggests that the three different foreign currencies' dollar risk premia 'respond' to the common factor to different degrees.
机译:在本文中,我们开发并估算了计量经济学面板数据模型,以捕获各种远期汇率中美元风险溢价的常见动态。美元风险溢价的共同组成部分非常重要,体现了英镑,日元和马克的正序列相关性(持久性)的共同模式。有趣的是,我们的结果表明,前向预测误差的动态几乎可以完全归因于与美元相关的常见成分。我们的证据还表明,三种不同的外币的美元风险溢价在不同程度上对共同因素做出了“反应”。

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