• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Management in Engineering >Selecting Project Risk Preventive and Protective Strategies Based on Bow-Tie Analysis
【24h】

Selecting Project Risk Preventive and Protective Strategies Based on Bow-Tie Analysis

机译：基于蝶形分析的项目风险防范与保护策略选择

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

In the practice of project risk management, project managers need to determine preventive actions to reduce risk probability before the risk occurs and/or protective actions to lower the risk impact after the risk occurrence. This paper proposes a method that integrates the bow-tie analysis and optimization model to determine risk response strategies from the preventive and protective perspectives. In the proposed method, bow-tie analysis is used to identify and analyze the causes and consequences of the risk event, the risk preventive strategies with respect to the causes, and the protective strategies with respect to the consequences. Then, the likelihood of the occurrence and the total loss of the risk event are calculated. The fuzzy optimization model is built to select proper risk preventive and protective strategies under the constraints of the risk likelihood, risk loss, and the expected loss. Finally, to demonstrate the proposed method, a case study is provided and some insights for managerial practice are drawn.%04018009.1-04018009.13
机译：在项目风险管理的实践中，项目经理需要确定预防措施以降低风险发生前的风险概率，和/或采取保护措施以降低风险发生后的风险影响。本文提出了一种将领结分析和优化模型相集成的方法，以从预防和保护的角度确定风险应对策略。在提出的方法中，领结分析用于识别和分析风险事件的原因和后果，针对原因的风险预防策略以及针对后果的保护策略。然后，计算发生事件的可能性和风险事件的总损失。建立了模糊优化模型，以在风险可能性，风险损失和预期损失的约束下选择适当的风险预防和保护策略。最后，为演示该方法，提供了一个案例研究，并提出了一些有关管理实践的见解。％04018009.1-04018009.13

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号