• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management >Projection of end-of-life vehicle (ELV) population at provincial level of China and analysis on the gap between the future requirements and the current situation of ELV treatment in China
【24h】

Projection of end-of-life vehicle (ELV) population at provincial level of China and analysis on the gap between the future requirements and the current situation of ELV treatment in China

机译：中国省级报废汽车人口预测及未来需求与中国电动车治疗现状之间的差距分析

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

The paper describes a model for projecting the ELV population in 31 province-level regions of China in 2015, 2017, and 2020 under three scenarios, and compares the projection results with the current distribution and capacity of qualified ELV processors in China. Historical data on the population, GDP and vehicle scrap rates are combined to model ELVs. The development in vehicle ownership is modeled by a dynamic Gompertz function. We acquire a model for the changing trend of the vehicle scrap rate as motorization improves, using Japanese historical data of over 60 years. We recalculate the parameters of the model using Chinese historical data collected over a decade when applying the model to China. The paper not only presents a baseline projection of the ELV population in province-level regions of China at different levels of motorization, but also identifies the gap between the future requirements and the current situation of ELV treatment in China.
机译：本文描述了一种在三种情况下预测2015年，2017年和2020年中国31个省级地区ELV人口的模型，并将预测结果与中国合格ELV处理器的当前分布和产能进行了比较。结合人口，GDP和车辆报废率的历史数据对ELV进行建模。车辆拥有量的发展是通过动态Gompertz函数建模的。我们使用了60多年的日本历史数据，获得了随着机动化程度提高而导致的汽车报废率变化趋势的模型。当我们将模型应用于中国时，我们使用十年来收集的中国历史数据重新计算了模型的参数。本文不仅提出了不同机动化程度的中国省级地区的ELV人口的基线预测，而且指出了未来需求与中国ELV治疗现状之间的差距。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号