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Does wage rigidity make firms riskier? Evidence from long-horizon return predictability

机译:工资僵化会使公司更具风险吗?长期收益预测的证据

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摘要

The relationship between sticky wages and risk has important asset pricing implications. Like operating leverage, sticky wages are a source of risk for the firm. Firms, industries, regions, or times with especially high or rigid wages are especially risky. If wages are sticky, then wage growth should negatively forecast future stock returns because falling wages are associated with even bigger falls in output, and increases in operating leverage. Indeed, this is the case in aggregate, industry, and U.S. state level data. Furthermore, this relation is stronger in industries and U.S. states with higher wage rigidity. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:固定工资与风险之间的关系具有重要的资产定价含义。像运营杠杆一样,固定工资是公司的风险来源。工资特别高或高的公司,行业,地区或时代尤其危险。如果工资具有粘性,那么工资增长将对未来的股票回报产生负面影响,因为工资下降与产出的进一步下降以及运营杠杆的增加相关。实际上,在汇总,行业和美国各州级别的数据中都是这种情况。此外,在工资刚性较高的行业和美国各州,这种关系更加牢固。 (C)2016 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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