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A Hybrid Fuzzy Risk Evaluation Model For Real Estate Investments

机译：房地产投资的混合模糊风险评估模型

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摘要

Risk evaluation has been an important task for real estate investments in uncertain economic conditions. Fuzzy rule based systems (FRBS) have been the most popular and easiest way to capture and represent fuzzy, vague, imprecise and uncertain domain knowledge. This study proposes a hybrid risk evaluation model for real estate investments which integrates FRBS with Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP). In the proposed hybrid model, FAHP is used to evaluate the real estate quality analytically with respect to the judgments of experts. Then, the obtained quality score is utilized as one the inputs of FRBS method which uses fuzzy IF-THEN rules denned by the experts. In this study, the rule base of the hybrid model combines the factors of age and quality of a real estate with general economical factors of the market. The proposed model is applied to determine the prices of three different real estate in Istanbul based on quality of house, size and risk factor.
机译：在不确定的经济条件下，风险评估一直是房地产投资的重要任务。基于模糊规则的系统（FRBS）是捕获和表示模糊，模糊，不精确和不确定领域知识的最流行和最简单的方法。本研究提出了一种房地产投资的混合风险评估模型，该模型将FRBS与模糊分析层次过程（FAHP）集成在一起。在提出的混合模型中，FAHP用于根据专家的判断分析地评估房地产质量。然后，将获得的质量得分用作FRBS方法的输入之一，该方法使用专家定义的模糊IF-THEN规则。在这项研究中，混合模型的规则库将房地产的年龄和质量因素与市场的一般经济因素结合在一起。所提出的模型用于根据房屋质量，规模和风险因素确定伊斯坦布尔三种不同房地产的价格。

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