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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of policy modeling >Monetary policy and stability during six periods in US economic history: 1959-2008: a novel,nonlinear monetary policy rule
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Monetary policy and stability during six periods in US economic history: 1959-2008: a novel,nonlinear monetary policy rule

机译:美国经济史上六个时期的货币政策和稳定:1959-2008年:新颖的非线性货币政策规则

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摘要

We investigate the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve Board during six periods in US economic history 1959-2008. In particular, we examine the Fed's response to changes in three guiding variables: inflation, π, unemployment, U, and industrial production, y, during periods with low and high economic stability. We identify separate responses for the Fed's change in interest rate depending upon (i) the current rate, FF, and the guiding variables' level below or above their average values and (ii) recent movements in inflation and unemployment. The change in rate, ΔFF, can then be calculated. We identify policies that both increased and decreased economic stability.
机译:我们研究了1959-2008年美国经济史上六个时期美联储的货币政策。特别是,我们考察了在经济稳定程度较高和较低的时期,美联储对三个指导变量变化的反应:通货膨胀π,失业率,U和工业生产y。我们根据(i)当前利率FF和指导变量水平低于或高于其平均值以及(ii)通货膨胀和失业率的近期变化,对美联储利率变化确定不同的应对措施。然后可以计算出速率变化ΔFF。我们确定增加和减少经济稳定性的政策。

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