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Can China’s Rural Elderly Count on Support from Adult Children? Implications of Rural-to-Urban Migration

机译:中国的农村老年人可以依靠成年子女的抚养吗?从农村到城市的移民的影响

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This paper shows that the family continues to be an important source of support for the rural elderly, particularly the rural elderly over 70 years of age. Decline in likelihood of co-residence with, or in close proximity to, adult children raises the possibility that China’s rural elderly will receive less support in the forms of both income and in-kind instrumental care. While descriptive evidence on net-financial transfers suggests that elderly with migrant children will receive similar levels of financial transfers as those without migrant children, the predicted variance associated with these transfers implies a higher risk that elderly who have migrant children could fall into poverty. Reducing the risk of low incomes among the elderly is one important motive for new rural pension initiatives supported by China’s government, which are scheduled to be expanded to cover all rural counties by the end of the 12th Five Year Plan in 2016.
机译:本文表明,家庭仍然是农村老年人特别是70岁以上农村老年人的重要支持来源。与成年子女或与成年子女相处的可能性降低了,这增加了中国农村老年人在收入和实物工具照护形式上获得的支持较少的可能性。尽管有关净金融转移的描述性证据表明,有流动儿童的老年人将获得与没有流动儿童的老年人类似的财政转移支付,但与这些转移相关的预计差异表明,有流动儿童的老年人陷入贫困的风险更高。降低老年人的低收入风险是中国政府支持的新农村养老金计划的重要动机之一,该计划计划在2016年“十二五”末扩大到所有农村县。

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