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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of population economics >The unintended: negative outcomes over the life cycle
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The unintended: negative outcomes over the life cycle

机译：意外：整个生命周期中的负面结果

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We quantify the impact of abortion legalization on the incidence of unintended births. While underlying much of the literature on abortion legalization, this effect had only been approximated by previous work. We find a strong decline in the prevalence of unintended births. Moreover, we find that this decline is mainly driven by "pro-choice" women. We then propose an empirical strategy to recover the effect of being "unintended" on life cycle outcomes. We use the differential timing of abortion legalization across states interacted with the mother's religion (which facilitates or hinders legal abortion take up) to instrument for endogenous pregnancy intention. We find that being unintended causes negative outcomes (higher crime, lower schooling, lower earnings) over the life cycle. Our paper provides an initial step towards quantifying this key mechanism behind many of the well-documented long-term effects associated with changes in reproductive health policy.
机译：我们量化了堕胎合法化对意外生育发生率的影响。尽管有关堕胎合法化的许多文献都具有基础，但这种效果仅是由先前的工作得出的。我们发现意外生育的患病率大大下降。此外，我们发现这种下降主要是由“选择亲”妇女推动的。然后，我们提出一种经验策略，以恢复“意外”对生命周期结果的影响。我们使用与母亲的宗教互动（促进或阻碍合法堕胎的国家）进行跨州堕胎合法化的不同时机来内生怀孕的意图。我们发现，无意间会在整个生命周期中造成负面结果（犯罪率更高，教育程度较低，收入较低）。我们的论文为量化这一关键机制提供了迈出的第一步，这一机制背后有许多有据可查的与生殖健康政策变化相关的长期影响。

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