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AIDS, 'reversal' of the demographic transition and economic development: evidence from Africa

机译:艾滋病,人口转变和经济发展的“逆转”:非洲的证据

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摘要

Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985-2000. Results differ depending on the variation used and the estimation method. Between estimates that exploit cross-sectional variation suggest a positive significant effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility, whereas within estimates that are identified of off time-series variation show both positive and negative results depending on the HIV/AIDS variable used. These within estimates are insignificant in most of the specifications.
机译:利用国家和地区的数据,我调查了1985-2000年期间HIV / AIDS对非洲生育率的影响。结果因使用的变化和估计方法而异。在利用横截面变化的估计之间,HIV / AIDS对生育率具有积极的显著作用,而在确定的非时间序列变化的估计范围内,取决于所使用的HIV / AIDS变量,既显示正结果,也显示负结果。在大多数规范中,这些估计值之内的微不足道。

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