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Lawmaking in American Legislatures: an empirical investigation

机译:美国立法机关的立法:一项实证研究

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摘要

Given pervasive gridlock at the national level, state legislatures are increasingly the place where notable policy change occurs. Investigating such change is difficult because it is often hard to characterise policy change and use observable data to evaluate theoretical predictions; it is subsequently unclear whether law-making explanations focusing on the US Congress also apply to state legislatures. We use several measures of state policy outcomes to examine lawmaking in state legislatures across nearly two decades, and we argue for using simulation studies to connect theoretical predictions to empirical specifications and help interpret the theoretical relevance of estimated correlations. Doing so reveals that the observed law-making outcomes we study are most consistent with law-making models emphasising the importance of the chamber median and the powers of the governor rather than those that focus on the preferences of the majority party.
机译:由于在国家一级普遍陷入僵局,州立法机关越来越成为发生重大政策变化的地方。调查此类变化非常困难,因为通常很难描述政策变化的特征,也很难使用可观察的数据来评估理论预测。后来还不清楚针对美国国会的立法解释是否也适用于各州立法机关。我们使用了几种状态政策结果度量方法来检查近二十年来各州立法机关的立法情况,并主张使用模拟研究将理论预测与经验指标联系起来,并有助于解释估计相关性的理论相关性。这样做表明,我们研究的观察到的立法结果与强调内院中位数和州长权力的重要性的立法模型最一致,而不是侧重于多数党偏好的立法模型。

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