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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports >An Estimate of How Hitting, Pitching, Fielding, and Basestealing Impact Team Winning Percentages in Baseball
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An Estimate of How Hitting, Pitching, Fielding, and Basestealing Impact Team Winning Percentages in Baseball

机译：命中率，投球，守场和偷垒影响团队如何赢得棒球的估计值

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摘要

Past research attempting estimates of the relative impact of hitting, pitching, fielding, and basestealing on team winning percentage in baseball has been marked by a number of problems, mostly in terms of poor choice of performance measures. The current analysis attempts to perform this task using readily available measures for the years 1951 through 1998. The analysis method is based on a conceptual decomposition of offense and defense into its component parts and then recombinations of the parts in intuitively meaningful ways. The findings imply that offense and defense have about the same impact on team performance than defense, the former is based almost totally on hitting, and the latter divided about equally between pitching and fielding. Division of the sample into time periods with low, medium, and high levels of offense did not substantially change these conclusions.
机译：过去的研究试图估计击球，投球，投篮和偷窃对垒球队获胜率的相对影响，但存在许多问题，其中大部分是由于绩效指标选择不当所致。当前的分析试图使用从1951年到1998年的随时可用的方法来执行此任务。该分析方法基于将进攻和防御的概念分解成其组成部分，然后以直观上有意义的方式将这些部分重新组合。研究结果表明，进攻和防守对球队绩效的影响与防守大致相同，前者几乎完全基于击球，后者则在投球和得分之间平均分配。将样本划分为低，中和高犯罪级别的时间段并没有实质性地改变这些结论。

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