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Crisis Sentiment in the US Insurance Sector

机译:美国保险业的危机情绪

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We use Internet search volume data to measure idiosyncratic and market-wide crisis sentiment to explain insurer stock return volatility. We find that market-level crisis sentiment was a significant predictor of stock return volatility of U.S. insurers between 2006 and 2010. Higher levels of crisis sentiment are associated with higher levels of price uncertainty. This effect is strongest for insurers with less exposure to the adverse effects of the financial crisis. Further, crisis sentiment also affects the cross-section of movements in insurer stock prices. Our results imply that investors exited insurer stocks mainly due to crisis sentiment rather than a rational assessment of the insurers' actual exposure to the crisis.
机译:我们使用互联网搜索量数据来衡量特质和整个市场的危机情绪,以解释保险公司股票收益率的波动性。我们发现,市场水平的危机情绪是2006年至2010年美国保险公司股票收益波动的重要预测指标。较高的危机情绪与较高的价格不确定性相关。对于较少遭受金融危机不利影响的保险公司而言,这种影响最为明显。此外,危机情绪还影响保险公司股价走势的各个方面。我们的结果表明,投资者退出保险公司股票的主要原因是危机情绪,而不是对保险公司实际承受危机的理性评估。

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