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Coherent Pricing of Life Settlements Under Asymmetric Information

机译:不对称信息下生活住区的连贯定价

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摘要

Although life settlements are advertised to deliver a profitable investment opportunity with a low correlation to market systematic risk, recent investigations reveal a discrepancy of expected and realized returns. While thus far this discrepancy has been attributed to the (allegedly) poor quality of the underlying life expectancy estimates, we present a different explanation of the seemingly high reported expected returns based on adverse selection. In particular, we provide a coherent pricing mechanism and pricing formulas in the presence of asymmetric information with respect to the underlying life expectancies. Therefore, our study sheds light on the nature of the "unique risks" within life settlements as recently discussed in the financial press.
机译:尽管人寿定居活动的广告宣传旨在提供与市场系统风险的相关性较低的获利投资机会,但最近的调查表明,预期收益和实际收益存在差异。尽管到目前为止,这种差异归因于基本预期寿命估计的(据说)质量较差,但我们对基于逆向选择的看似预期的预期回报率表示了不同的解释。特别是,在存在关于基本预期寿命的不对称信息的情况下,我们提供了一个一致的定价机制和定价公式。因此,我们的研究揭示了金融新闻界最近讨论的生活定居点中“独特风险”的性质。

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  • 来源
    《The journal of risk and insurance》 |2013年第3期|827-851|共25页
  • 作者

    Nan Zhu; Daniel Bauer;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Mathematics, Illinois State University, 100 N. University Street, Normal, IL 61790;

    Department of Risk Management and Insurance, Georgia State University, 35 Broad Street, 11th Floor, Atlanta, GA 30303;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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