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Public priorities and expectations of climate change impacts in the United Kingdom

机译：公众优先事项和气候变化影响的期望在英国的影响

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摘要

Irrespective of the success of climate mitigation efforts, societies worldwide face the challenge of adapting to a changing climate. In this paper, we examine UK residents' expectations of future threats and opportunities associated with climate change impacts, along with willingness to prioritise different climate change impacts for investment. Using a national survey (n = 2007), we report on three main findings. First, UK residents tend to expect threats related to flooding and wet weather to be more likely and concerning than heat extremes or opportunities. Second, UK residents' expectations of climate change impacts do not align with expert assessments, especially showing lower estimates of heat-related threats as compared to experts. Third, willingness to allocate resources to potential climate change impacts tends to be more strongly associated with anticipated concern should they occur than climate change belief or the expected likelihood of them occurring. We discuss the implications of our findings for policies and communications about climate change adaptation in the UK and elsewhere.
机译：无论气候缓解努力的成功，全世界的社会都面临着适应不断变化的气候的挑战。在本文中，我们研究了英国居民对未来威胁和与气候变化影响有关的机会的期望，以及优先考虑不同气候变化对投资影响的影响。我们通过国家调查（N = 2007），我们报告了三个主要结果。首先，英国居民倾向于期望与洪水和潮湿的天气有关的威胁，更有可能和大于热极端或机会。其次，英国居民对气候变化影响的期望不会与专家评估保持一致，特别是与专家相比表现出对热相关威胁的估计。第三，应对潜在气候变化的愿意分配资源的意愿与预期关注的潜在气候变化的影响往往与气候变化信念或其预期可能发生的预期的疑虑相比更强烈。我们讨论了我们对关于英国和其他地方的气候变化适应的政策和通信的调查结果的影响。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Journal of risk research》 |2019年第2期|150-160|共11页
  • 作者

    Taylor Andrea; Dessai Suraje; de Bruin Waendi Bruine;

  • 作者单位

    Univ Leeds Ctr Decis Res Leeds W Yorkshire England|Univ Leeds Sch Earth & Environm Sustainabil Res Inst Leeds W Yorkshire England|Univ Leeds Sch Earth & Environm ESRC Ctr Climate Change Econ & Policy Leeds W Yorkshire England;

    Univ Leeds Sch Earth & Environm Sustainabil Res Inst Leeds W Yorkshire England|Univ Leeds Sch Earth & Environm ESRC Ctr Climate Change Econ & Policy Leeds W Yorkshire England;

    Univ Leeds Ctr Decis Res Leeds W Yorkshire England|Carnegie Mellon Univ Dept Engn & Publ Policy Pittsburgh PA 15213 USA;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Risk perception; risk expectations; climate change adaptation; United Kingdom;

    机译：风险感知;风险预期;气候变化适应;英国;

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