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Consequence evaluations and moral concerns about climate change: insights from nationally representative surveys across four European countries

机译:关于气候变化的后果评估和道德问题:来自四个欧洲国家的国家代表调查的见解

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This paper examines consequence evaluations and moral concerns about climate change across four European countries. Data from nationally representative samples (each n1000) were analysed in order to explore the relative importance of consequences versus morality in explaining public support for different climate policies. Most respondents expected climate change to have largely negative consequences for their respective country. Climate change consequences were viewed most negatively in Germany, followed by France, the U.K. and Norway. While the vast majority of respondents expressed at least some degree of moral concern about climate change, a notable minority in each sample stated that they have no such concerns. Moral concerns were highest in France, followed by the U.K. and Norway, and lowest in Germany. It was found that both judgements explain support for policies that aim to mitigate climate change or aim to adapt to the impacts of climate change. However, our results further suggest that moral concern was a stronger predictor of policy support than consequence evaluations. If at all, consequence evaluations were more likely to predict policy support in Germany and Norway than in the U.K. and France. Overall, policies that involved subsidies received the strongest support, whereas policies involving individual costs received the least support. This research broadens our understanding of the intertwining between risk perceptions and public support for climate policies, documenting variability across and within countries. Implications for policy-makers with an interest in communicating climate change risks to the broader public audience are discussed.
机译:本文研究了四个欧洲国家气候变化的后果评估和道德问题。分析来自国家代表性样本的数据(每个N> 1000),以探讨后果与道德对不同气候政策的公共支持相对重要的重要性。大多数受访者预期气候变化对其各自的国家的影响很大。气候变化后果在德国最负面看来,其次是法国,U.K.和挪威。虽然绝大多数受访者对气候变化表达了至少一定程度的道德问题,但每个样本中的一个值得注意的少数人表示他们没有这样的问题。在法国的道德问题最高,其次是U.K.和挪威,德国最低。有人发现,这两个判决都解释了旨在减轻气候变化的政策或旨在适应气候变化的影响的政策。但是,我们的结果进一步表明,道德问题是政策支持的更强预测因素而不是后果评估。如果有的话,后果评估更有可能预测德国和挪威的政策支持,而不是美国和法国。总体而言,涉及补贴的政策得到了最强的支持,而涉及个人成本的政策则得到最少的支持。本研究扩大了我们对风险认识和公众对气候政策之间的交流之间的融合,记录各国和国家内部的可变性的理解。讨论了对政策制定者对更广泛的公共观众来沟通气候变化风险的影响。

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