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Radiocarbon peat chronologies and environmental change

机译:放射性碳泥炭的年代和环境变化

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摘要

Raised bog peat deposits form important archives for reconstructing past changes in climate. Precise and reliable age models are of vital importance for interpreting such archives. We propose enhanced, Markov chain Monte Carlo based methods for obtaining age models from radiocarbon-dated peat cores, based on the assumption of piecewise linear accumulation. Included are automatic choice of sections, a measure of the goodness of fit and outlier downweighting. The approach is illustrated by using a peat core from the Netherlands.
机译:升高的沼泽泥炭沉积物形成了重要的档案,用于重建过去的气候变化。准确可靠的年龄模型对于解释此类档案至关重要。我们基于分段线性累积的假设,提出了一种基于马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗的增强方法,用于从放射性碳定年的泥炭芯中获得年龄模型。包括部分的自动选择,拟合优度和离群权重的度量。通过使用荷兰的泥炭芯来说明这种方法。

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