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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Solid Waste Technology and Management >A SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL TO PREDICT MUNICIPAL WASTE GENERATION AND MANAGEMENT COSTS IN DEVELOPING AREAS
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A SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL TO PREDICT MUNICIPAL WASTE GENERATION AND MANAGEMENT COSTS IN DEVELOPING AREAS

机译：一种预测发展中城市垃圾产生和管理成本的系统动力学模型

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摘要

This paper utilized system dynamics modeling as a new analytical approach to predict both the municipal waste generated and the associated disposal costs in developing areas. This approach facilitates the decomposition of general waste into its main components to enable municipalities to manage recyclables and find out the feasibility of performing recycling better rather than disposal by performing comparative disposal cost analysis. This study is different from previous work as it only considers population as a factor to predict the total waste generated and recycled, together with the associated expenditure and disposal cost savings. The approach is verified by applying it to a case study in Nablus and demonstrates the evaluation of the quantity and composition of generated waste by considering population as the main influencing factor. The quantity and composition of municipal solid waste was evaluated to identify opportunities for waste recycling in the Nablus municipality. Municipal solid waste was collected and. classified into eight main physical categories. The system dynamics model enable the quantity of each generated component such as plastic and metals to be anticipated together with the cost of recycling or disposal.
机译：本文利用系统动力学建模作为一种新的分析方法来预测在发展中地区产生的市政废物和相关的处置成本。这种方法有助于将一般废物分解为主要成分，从而使市政当局能够管理可回收物，并通过进行比较性处置成本分析来找出进行更好的回收而不是处置的可行性。这项研究与以前的工作不同，因为它仅将人口作为预测产生和回收的总废物以及相关的支出和处置成本节省的因素。通过将该方法应用于纳布卢斯（Nablus）的案例研究，对该方法进行了验证，并通过将人口作为主要影响因素，证明了所产生废物的数量和组成的评估。对城市固体废物的数量和成分进行了评估，以发现纳布卢斯市废物回收的机会。收集生活垃圾。分为八个主要的物理类别。系统动力学模型可以预测每个生成的组件（例如塑料和金属）的数量以及回收或处置的成本。

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