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Risk Chair for Concurrent Design Engineering: Satellite Swarm Illustration

机译:并行设计工程风险椅子:卫星群图

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Whereas concurrent design engineering (CDE) processes show great promise for reducing design time and cost, the implicit management of technical risk raises questions about the reliability of resulting designs. CDE team members (chairs) may not possess the skills to perform risk assessment. The authors propose that a risk analyst be integrated into concurrent design engineering teams to explicitly manage a design objective. The contributions that such an analyst could make in the aerospace industry and the tools and information that would be needed to support real-time analysis are discussed. A terrestrial observer swarm problem illustrates the top-down approach to technical risk assessment during the concurrent design process. The swarm model is analyzed in increasingly adaptable models, starting with an instant dual-redundant system and ending with a discrete-time Markov model of swarm life involving dependent satellite lifetimes and an uncertain number of satellites due to the possibility of failures of launch and dispensing operations.
机译:并行设计工程(CDE)流程显示出减少设计时间和成本的巨大希望,而技术风险的隐式管理则引发了有关最终设计可靠性的问题。 CDE团队成员(主席)可能不具备执行风险评估的技能。作者建议将风险分析师集成到并发的设计工程团队中,以明确管理设计目标。讨论了这样的分析师在航空航天工业中可以做出的贡献,以及支持实时分析所需的工具和信息。一个地面观察者群体问题说明了在并行设计过程中自上而下的技术风险评估方法。以越来越适应性强的模型对群体模型进行分析,从即时双冗余系统开始,到群体生命的离散时间马尔可夫模型结束,该过程涉及相关的卫星寿命,并且由于发射和分配失败的可能性,卫星数量不确定操作。

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