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The Meaning of the Nuclear Evolution: China's Strategic Modernization and US-China Security Relations

机译:核进化的意义:中国的战略现代化与美中安全关系

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摘要

Will China's development of a new generation of nuclear weapons impact US-China security relations in important ways? One's answer depends on how one views the following: whether or not Chinese leaders believe that they are only now acquiring a secure second strike capability; the scope of coercive power that secure second strike capability provides to conventionally inferior actors; the meaning of China's 'No First Use' Doctrine; and the prospects for escalation control in future crises. Applying Cold War theories and tapping Chinese doctrinal writings this article concludes that China's nuclear modernization program might prove more consequential than is commonly believed.
机译:中国新一代核武器的发展是否会对美中安全关系产生重要影响?一个人的答案取决于人们如何看待以下内容:中国领导人是否相信他们现在才刚刚获得安全的第二次打击能力;确保第二次攻击能力提供给常规劣等演员的强制性权力的范围;中国“不首先使用”原则的含义;以及未来危机中升级控制的前景。本文运用冷战理论并借鉴中国的理论著作得出的结论是,中国的核现代化计划可能比通常认为的更为重要。

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