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An improved model for predicting trip mode distribution using convolution deep learning

机译:使用卷积深度学习预测跳闸模式分布的改进模型

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摘要

Trip mode selection is a behavioral characteristic of passengers with immense importance for travel demand analysis, transportation planning, and traffic management. Identification of trip mode distribution will allow transportation authorities to adopt appropriate strategies to reduce travel time, traffic, and air pollution. The majority of existing trip mode inference models operate based on human-selected features and traditional machine learning algorithms. However, human-selected features are sensitive to changes in traffic and environmental conditions and susceptible to personal biases, which can make them inefficient. One way to overcome these problems is to use neural networks capable of extracting high-level features from raw input. In this study, the convolutional neural network (CNN) architecture is used to predict the trip mode distribution based on raw GPS trajectory data. The key innovation of this paper is the design of the layout of the input layer of CNN as well as normalization operation, in a way that is not only compatible with the CNN architecture but can also represent the fundamental features of motion including speed, acceleration, jerk, and bearing rate. The highest prediction accuracy achieved with the proposed configuration for the convolutional neural network with batch normalization is 85.26%.
机译:旅行模式选择是旅行需求分析,运输规划和交通管理具有巨大重要性的乘客的行为特征。识别旅行模式分配将允许运输当局采取适当的策略来减少旅行时间,交通和空气污染。大多数现有行程模式推理模型基于人类所选功能和传统机器学习算法运行。然而,人类所选的特征对交通和环境条件的变化敏感,并且易受个人偏差的影响,这可以使它们效率低下。克服这些问题的一种方法是使用能够从原始输入提取高级功能的神经网络。在本研究中,卷积神经网络(CNN)架构用于基于原始GPS轨迹数据预测跳闸模式分布。本文的关键创新是CNN的输入层的布局以及归一化操作的设计,以不仅与CNN架构兼容,而且还可以代表包括速度,加速度的运动的基本特征,混蛋和轴承率。使用批量标准化的卷积神经网络的所提出的配置实现的最高预测精度为85.26%。

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