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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of the American Water Resources Association >ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF LARGE RIVERS WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO THE MISSOURI RIVER
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ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT OF LARGE RIVERS WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO THE MISSOURI RIVER

机译：特殊管理MISSOURI河的大型河的自适应管理

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摘要

The technocratic approach for managing the Missouri River and other large rivers is not effective in resolving conflicts among competing uses of water and dealing with uncertainty about how river ecosystems respond to alternative management actions. Adaptive management offers an alternative way to address these and other issues. It has the potential to alleviate management gridlock and provide lasting solutions to management of the Missouri River and other large river ecosystems. In passive adaptive management, simulation models and expert judgment are combined to select a preferred management action. While passive adaptive management is relatively simple and inexpensive to use, it does not necessarily provide reliable information for making management decisions. Active adaptive management uses statistically designed experiments to test assumptions or hypotheses about ecosystem responses to management actions. It is best carried out by a collaborative working group. Active adaptive management has several advantages, but the inability to satisfy certain prerequisites for successful application makes it more difficult to implement in large river ecosystems. A second-best approach is proposed here to select, implement, monitor, and evaluate a preferred management action and retain that action provided ecological conditions improve and socioeconomic indicators do not fall below established acceptability limits.
机译：管理密苏里河和其他大河流的技术官僚方法不能有效解决水的竞争使用之间的冲突，也无法有效解决河流生态系统如何应对替代管理措施的不确定性。自适应管理提供了解决这些问题和其他问题的替代方法。它有可能缓解管理僵局，并为密苏里河和其他大型河流生态系统的管理提供持久的解决方案。在被动自适应管理中，模拟模型和专家判断相结合以选择首选的管理操作。尽管被动自适应管理相对简单且使用成本低廉，但它不一定为制定管理决策提供可靠的信息。主动适应性管理使用统计设计的实验来测试有关生态系统对管理行为的响应的假设或假设。最好由协作工作组执行。主动适应性管理具有多个优点，但是无法满足成功应用的某些先决条件，这使得在大型河流生态系统中实施变得更加困难。本文提出了第二好的方法，用于选择，实施，监控和评估首选的管理措施，并在生态条件改善且社会经济指标不低于既定的可接受限度的前提下保留该措施。

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