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Ridership estimation of a new LRT system: Direct demand model approach

机译:新轻轨系统的乘车率估算:直接需求模型方法

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The successful introduction of LRT systems is inevitably related to the realistic estimation of their ridership; this is particularly true for cases of no prior experience in the use of such modes in the part of the traveling public. This paper presents a practical approach for developing a direct demand model, for the case of a planned LRT system in Cyprus connecting the three major cities of Nicosia, Larnaca and Limassol. The proposed approach is based on existing traffic demand data and limited roadside surveys. Results indicate that the introduction of the proposed LRT would attract a moderate number of 23,000 passengers daily and shift a small percentage of 3.5% of traffic to the system. It was also found that approximately 33% of these trips correspond to the urban section of the network, while about 62% of the estimated ridership will use the part of the system connecting Nicosia and Larnaca. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:轻轨系统的成功引进不可避免地与对乘客量的现实估计有关。对于没有事先经验的旅行公众使用这种模式的情况尤其如此。本文提出了一种开发直接需求模型的实用方法,例如塞浦路斯计划中的轻轨系统将尼科西亚,拉纳卡和利马索尔这三个主要城市连接起来。提议的方法基于现有的交通需求数据和有限的路边调查。结果表明,拟议的轻轨系统的引入将每天吸引23,000名乘客,并将3.5%的交通量的一小部分转移到该系统。还发现,这些旅行中约有33%对应于该网络的市区,而估计的乘客量中约有62%将使用连接尼科西亚和拉纳卡的部分系统。 (C)2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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