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Vesuvius: Earthquakes from 1600 up to the 1631 eruption

机译：维苏威火山：从1600年到1631年爆发的地震

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摘要

This study examines the seismicity of Vesuvius in the decades leading up to the great eruption of 16th December 1631. The period 1600-1631 is analyzed with the aims to point out any long-term seismic precursor of the eruption. The historical research has focused on contemporary Neapolitan memoirs and a large screening of diplomatic correspondence from the main Italian courts of the age (Florence, Mantua, Parma, Venice and the Vatican). Information was gathered on 18 earthquakes that were felt in Naples between 1601 and 1630. These data were listed with the sequence of 34 shocks that took place in November and December 1631, that preceded the beginning of the eruption. The 52 seismic events that have been highlighted overall are unknown in the parametric catalogues of Italian historical seismicity and 17 are unknown even in the scientific literature. The authors' view is that it makes little sense to talk of one single previous seismic precursor in this case, given the frequent seismic sequences and tremors noted by contemporaries from January 1616 onwards. The present state of knowledge suggests that seismic activity is a strong, early and persistent warning sign of an eruption of Vesuvius, of the same type as that of December 1631.
机译：本研究考察了维苏威火山在1631年12月16日大爆发之前的几十年中的地震活动性。分析了1600-1631年的时间，目的是指出该火山爆发的任何长期地震前兆。历史研究的重点是当代那不勒斯回忆录，以及来自该年龄主要意大利法院（佛罗伦萨，曼托瓦，帕尔马，威尼斯和梵蒂冈）的大量外交书信。收集了有关1601年至1630年间在那不勒斯所感受到的18次地震的信息。这些数据列出了在爆发开始之前在1631年11月和1631年发生的34次地震的序列。在意大利历史地震活动性参数目录中，总体上突出显示的52个地震事件是未知的，即使在科学文献中也未知。作者的观点是，鉴于自1616年1月起同时代人注意到的频繁地震序列和震颤，在这种情况下谈论一个以前的地震前兆是没有意义的。目前的知识水平表明，地震活动是维苏威火山喷发的强烈，早期和持续的警告信号，与1631年12月的类型相同。

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