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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of water and climate change >Governing the future? The potential of adaptive delta management to contribute to governance capabilities for dealing with the wicked problem of climate change adaptation
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Governing the future? The potential of adaptive delta management to contribute to governance capabilities for dealing with the wicked problem of climate change adaptation

机译：统治未来？适应性三角洲管理有潜力提高治理能力，以应对气候变化适应的严重问题

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摘要

Due to the long term character of the policy issue, the associated uncertainties and the large variety of affected stakeholders, adapting densely populated delta areas to the impacts of climate change is an important governance challenge and a wicked problem. In this paper, we analyse adaptive delta management (ADM), a policy development approach that relies on adaptation tipping points and adaptation pathways, used by the Dutch Delta Programme to climate proof the Dutch delta. ADM operationalizes adaptive management ideas for the long term governance of river deltas. Taking a governance perspective, we assess the potential of ADM to contribute to each of the five governance capabilities required to deal with wicked problems: reflexivity, responsiveness, resilience, revitalization and rescaling. We conclude that ADM can contribute substantially to the governance capabilities of resilience (through robustness and flexibility) and rescaling (through addressing the time scale mismatch). ADM has the potential to contribute to the governance capabilities of reflexivity and responsiveness, but also has some characteristics that could result in non-reflexivity and non-responsiveness. Enabling ADM as a policy development approach for long term issues requires a long term commitment to iterative policy revision, flexibility and learning in the broader governance system.
机译：由于政策问题的长期性，相关的不确定性以及受影响的利益相关者的多样性，使人口稠密的三角洲地区适应气候变化的影响是一项重要的治理挑战，也是一个严重的问题。在本文中，我们分析了适应性三角洲管理（ADM），这是一种政策制定方法，它依赖于适应性临界点和适应性途径，由荷兰三角洲计划用于气候保护荷兰三角洲。 ADM将适应性管理思想付诸实践，以长期控制三角洲。从治理的角度来看，我们评估了ADM在处理邪恶问题所需的五种治理功能中的每一种的潜力：反身性，响应能力，弹性，活力和调整规模。我们得出结论，ADM可以极大地增强弹性（通过健壮性和灵活性）和重新调整规模（通过解决时间尺度不匹配）的治理功能。 ADM可能有助于提高自反性和响应能力的治理能力，但也具有某些特性，可能会导致自反性和不响应性。要使ADM成为解决长期问题的政策制定方法，就需要长期致力于迭代的政策修订，灵活性以及在更广泛的治理系统中的学习。

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