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Explanation and reliability of prediction models: the case of breast cancer recurrence

机译:预测模型的解释和可靠性:乳腺癌复发病例

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摘要

In this paper, we describe the first practical application of two methods, which bridge the gap between the non-expert user and machine learning models. The first is a method for explaining classifiers’ predictions, which provides the user with additional information about the decision-making process of a classifier. The second is a reliability estimation methodology for regression predictions, which helps the users to decide to what extent to trust a particular prediction. Both methods are successfully applied to a novel breast cancer recurrence prediction data set and the results are evaluated by expert oncologists.
机译:在本文中,我们描述了两种方法的首次实际应用,它们在非专家用户模型和机器学习模型之间架起了桥梁。第一种是解释分类器预测的方法,它为用户提供有关分类器决策过程的其他信息。第二种是用于回归预测的可靠性估计方法,它可以帮助用户决定在多大程度上信任特定的预测。两种方法均成功地应用于新型乳腺癌复发预测数据集,并由专业的肿瘤学家对结果进行评估。

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