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Negotiation Strategy and a Roadmap for the Denuclearization of North Korea

机译:谈判策略和朝鲜无核化路线图

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摘要

A successful North Korea-U. S. summit is expected to make a breakthrough in the denuclearization of the North. Nevertheless, considering the lessons learned from past denuclearization negotiations, and Pyongyang's nuclear capacity and will for nuclear development, a solely optimistic outlook is not advisable. In order to pursue successful denuclearization negotiations, a precise understanding of new negotiation conditions, particularly each party's negotiation strategy and leverage, and application of them is very important. Also, a substantive negotiation strategy and roadmap for the denuclearization should be prepared to be able to pressure and reach an agreement with North Korea. Taking account of the negotiation leverage of North Korea and the United States, a one-sided negotiation with North Korea surrendering to the United States is not likely. This paper aims to provide a practical negotiation strategy and a roadmap for the denuclearization of North Korea reflecting the current security situation surrounding the Korean Peninsula.
机译:一个成功的朝鲜-U。南北首脑会议有望在北部无核化方面取得突破。然而,考虑到从过去的无核化谈判中汲取的教训以及平壤的核能力和对核发展的意愿,不宜过于乐观。为了进行成功的无核化谈判,准确了解新的谈判条件,尤其是各方的谈判策略和杠杆,以及对它们的应用非常重要。另外,应该准备无核化的实质性谈判战略和路线图,以便能够施加压力并与朝鲜达成协议。考虑到朝鲜和美国的谈判杠杆作用,与朝鲜屈服于美国的单方面谈判不太可能。本文旨在为反映朝鲜半岛当前的安全局势提供一个切实可行的谈判策略和朝鲜无核化的路线图。

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