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Technology Foresight Using Roadmaps

机译：使用路线图进行技术预见

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A novel approach to Technology Foresight has been developed by BP and used to devise an R&D strategy embracing the core business areas of the company. It is based on the use of Roadmaps which are visual descriptions summarizing the outcomes of numerous discussions involving all the personnel responsible for procuring, planning, funding, monitoring, and implementing R&D. This emphasis on visual, easy-to-comprehend descriptions of customer needs, technology responses, and R&D programmes offers several benefits. It facilitates the structured dialogue essential to the Foresight process; it also greatly aids communication, both at the operational commercial and technical level, and with senior management too, as well as providing a practical means for ensuring R&D programmes are apposite, correctly prioritized, and adequately resourced. The essential differences from more conventional methods of developing strategies and plans are that 1. it places greater emphasis on, and provides practical assistance to facilitate the construction of the plan by enabling all the participants, whether technically expert or otherwise, to play a full part in the process, 2. it enables the overall impact and relevance of individual technology components of a business strategy to be assimilated rapidly and reliably, and 3. it greatly facilitates identification of gaps and/or duplications of effort These advantages stem primarily from the combination of logical analysis, widespread consultation and discussion, and use of graphical techniques, all of which are key features of this approach.
机译：BP开发了一种新颖的技术预见方法，用于设计涵盖公司核心业务领域的研发策略。它基于“路线图”的使用，该路线图是直观的描述，总结了包括负责采购，计划，资助，监控和实施R＆D的所有人员在内的众多讨论的结果。这种对可视化的，易于理解的客户需求，技术响应和R＆D程序描述的强调提供了许多好处。它促进了有远见的进程必不可少的结构化对话；它也极大地有助于在商业和技术层面以及与高层管理人员之间的沟通，并为确保研发计划适当，正确地确定优先顺序并提供充足的资源提供了一种实用的手段。与更常规的策略和计划制定方法的本质区别在于：1.它使所有参与者（无论是技术专家还是其他专家）都能充分发挥作用，从而更加重视并提供实际帮助以促进计划的构建。在此过程中，2.可以快速，可靠地吸收业务策略中各个技术组件的整体影响和相关性； 3.极大地促进了差距和/或工作重复的确定。这些优势主要来自于组合逻辑分析，广泛的咨询和讨论以及图形技术的使用，所有这些都是此方法的关键功能。

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