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Creative Logic and Other Evaluation Traps

机译:创意逻辑和其他评估陷阱

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摘要

You might want to consider the following additions to your usual evaluation techniques for business proposals: 1. Be wary of "creative logic." This occurs when a person starts with the answer and then searches for facts to justify it. Improper assumptions and comparisons can also lead to circular reasoning such as "If it's Monday, and it's raining this morning, then it is likely that it will rain every Monday morning." (Most circular reasoning is not that easy to spot, of course.).
机译:您可能需要考虑对业务建议的常规评估技术进行以下补充:1.警惕“创意逻辑”。当某人从答案开始然后搜索事实以证明其正确性时,就会发生这种情况。不正确的假设和比较也可能导致循环推理,例如“如果是星期一,并且今天早晨在下雨,那么很可能每个星期一早晨都下雨。” (当然,大多数循环推理都不那么容易找到。)

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