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首页> 外文期刊>Macroeconomic dynamics >A PARSIMONIOUS MODEL OF LONGEVITY, FERTILITY, HIV TRANSMISSION AND DEVELOPMENT
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A PARSIMONIOUS MODEL OF LONGEVITY, FERTILITY, HIV TRANSMISSION AND DEVELOPMENT

机译：常时寿命，生育，艾滋病毒传播与发展模型

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A central policy issue in the battle against HIV in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is whether and when high-prevalence countries might become autonomous in designing and implementing their own intervention policies against the disease. The aim of this research is twofold. First, it develops a framework for explaining economic development in a general equilibrium growth model with endogenous fertility and endogenous mortality forced by the threat of a persistent, deadly infectious disease, such as HIV/AIDS in SSA. Second, it aims to shed light on the interplay between foreign aid and endogenous domestic public policies in SSA countries severely afflicted by HIV. Consequently, it investigates the demographic and macroeconomic implications of an intervention against HIV/AIDS whose total amount is the sum of an exogenous component representing foreign aid and an endogenous public expenditure. On the assumption that these policies allow the same degree of HIV control, we show the emergence of quite different responses in terms of key demo-economic variables. These effects mainly pass through the fertility response to the evolving epidemic conditions.
机译：在撒哈拉以南非洲（SSA）战斗中的一项中央政策问题是，当高流行国家可能在设计和实施对疾病的干预政策方面是自主的。这项研究的目的是双重的。首先，它制定了一种框架，用于解释一般均衡模型中的经济发展，其具有内源性生育能力和内源性死亡率被持续，致命的传染病的威胁，例如SSA的艾滋病毒/艾滋病。其次，它旨在阐明外国援助与内源性国内公共政策在艾滋病毒严重受到痛苦的国家的相互作用。因此，它调查了对艾滋病毒/艾滋病干预的人口统计和宏观经济影响，其总金额是代表外援助援助和内源性公共支出的外源组件的总和。在假设这些政策允许相同程度的艾滋病毒控制，我们在关键的演示 - 经济变量方面表明了相当不同的反应。这些效果主要通过对不断发展的流行病的生育响应。

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