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首页> 外文期刊>The Manchester school >CAUSAL EFFECTS OF PETROCARIBE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: A SYNTHETIC CONTROL ANALYSIS
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CAUSAL EFFECTS OF PETROCARIBE ON SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: A SYNTHETIC CONTROL ANALYSIS

机译：传物对可持续发展的因果影响：合成控制分析

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摘要

We examine the causal effects of the energy subsidy programme PetroCaribe in the three dimensions of sustainable development: economic, social and environmental. We use the synthetic control method to construct a counterfactual and compare it to the outcomes of the beneficiary countries and thus estimate the magnitude and direction of the PetroCaribe effect. PetroCaribe had a positive effect on economic growth in most of the beneficiary countries; however, this economic boost was not followed by an improvement in social development. Environmentally, PetroCaribe did not negatively or positively impact the environmental quality of the member countries, in the sense that we do not find a significant effect on the trend of CO2 emissions per capita.
机译：我们在可持续发展的三个维度中研究了能源补贴计划传物的因果效应：经济，社会和环境。我们使用综合控制方法构建反事实，并将其与受益国的结果进行比较，从而估计纤维叶车效应的大小和方向。 Petrocaribe对大多数受益国的经济增长产生了积极影响;然而，这种经济增压并非改善社会发展。在环境中，Petrocaribe没有对成员国的环境质量产生负面或积极影响，因为我们没有对人均二氧化碳排放的趋势产生重大影响。

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    《The Manchester school》 |2020年第1期|156-210|共55页
  • 作者

    Jardon Acel; Kuik Onno; Tol Richard S. J.;

  • 作者单位

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies Amsterdam Netherlands;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies Amsterdam Netherlands;

    Vrije Univ Amsterdam Inst Environm Studies Amsterdam Netherlands|Univ Sussex Dept Econ Brighton E Sussex England|Vrije Univ Dept Spatial Econ Amsterdam Netherlands|Tinbergen Inst Amsterdam Netherlands|CESifo Munich Germany|Colorado Sch Mines Payne Inst Earth Resources Golden CO 80401 USA;

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