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首页> 外文期刊>The Manchester school >CREDIBILITY IN EMERGING ECONOMIES: DOES INFLATION TARGETING MATTER?
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CREDIBILITY IN EMERGING ECONOMIES: DOES INFLATION TARGETING MATTER?

机译:新兴经济体的可信度:通胀目标是否重要?

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摘要

In this paper we evaluate the role of inflation targeting (IT) in enhancing monetary policy credibility in emerging economies. We construct a time-varying credibility index, and then carry out extensive testing in order to assess whether IT had a significant impact on monetary policy credibility. Our results confirm that credibility was on average lower for targeters than non-targeters before the regime change, and show that the gap was closed after the adoption of IT. However, taking mean reversion into account, we find no significant evidence that IT bolstered credibility levels.
机译:在本文中,我们评估了通胀目标制(IT)在增强新兴经济体的货币政策信誉方面的作用。我们构建随时间变化的可信度指标,然后进行广泛的测试,以评估IT对货币政策可信度是否有重大影响。我们的结果证实,在政权更替之前,目标人群的可信度平均比非目标人群低,并且表明,采用信息技术后,这种差距已经消除。但是,考虑到均值回归,我们没有发现任何重要证据表明IT可以提高可信度。

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