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MACROECONOMIC MODELS: BETTER HORSES FOR TOUGHER COURSES

机译:宏观经济模型:更好的课程适合更艰难的课程

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摘要

Recall the famous quote by George E.P. Box: all models are false, but some models are useful. So there are good models: what are they? Models are abstractions that aim to highlight a particular economic mechanism rel-evant for a particular research question. They should abstract from all the features that are not important for the particular research question at hand. A good model is one that does exactly that. It follows that the model should be judged on the basis of its ability to shed some light on that particular research question. It should not be dismissed just on the basis that it is not able to explain features that are not directly related to the research question it was explicitly built to address. That would simply be unfair and not intellectually honest. Therefore, it follows that there does not exist a big all-encompassing model that can explain everything from rare events to day-to-day economic policy. There are good models for par-ticular questions.
机译:回想一下乔治·E·P·方框:所有模型都是错误的,但是有些模型是有用的。因此,有很好的模型:它们是什么?模型是抽象的,旨在强调针对特定研究问题的特定经济机制。他们应该从对当前特定研究问题不重要的所有特征中抽象出来。好的模型就是可以做到这一点的模型。因此,应该根据模型对特定研究问题的理解能力来判断模型。不能仅仅因为它不能解释与它明确要解决的研究问题没有直接关系的特征而将其丢弃。那简直是不公平的,不是理智上的诚实。因此,可以得出结论,没有一个大的,包罗万象的模型可以解释从稀有事件到日常经济政策的所有内容。有针对特定问题的良好模型。

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  • 来源
    《The Manchester school》 |2011年第suppla期|p.17-20|共4页
  • 作者

    GUIDO ASCARI;

  • 作者单位

    University of Pavia;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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