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THE BLACK-MARKET EXCHANGE RATE VERSUS THE OFFICIAL RATE: WHICH RATE FOSTERS THE ADJUSTMENT SPEED IN THE MONETARIST MODEL?

机译:黑市汇率与官方汇率:哪个汇率支撑货币模型中的调整速度?

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摘要

Many less developed countries have currency controls, which can lead to black-market trade and cause distortions in the exchange market. We test the flexible-price monetary model for 25 less developed countries, using both official and black-market exchange rates. We find that the model is supported in the long run, particularly when black-market rates are used. Measuring the speed of convergence to equilibrium, we find that it is often higher in the black-market specification, implying greater effi-ciency. This could offer justification for exchange-rate unification, par-ticularly in Latin America.
机译:许多欠发达国家有货币管制,这可能导致黑市交易,并导致外汇市场扭曲。我们使用官方和黑市汇率测试了25个欠发达国家的灵活价格货币模型。我们发现,从长远来看,将支持该模型,尤其是在使用黑市利率的情况下。通过测量收敛到平衡的速度,我们发现在黑市规范中它通常更高,这意味着更高的效率。这可以提供汇率统一的理由,尤其是在拉丁美洲。

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  • 来源
    《The Manchester school》 |2010年第6期|p.725-738|共14页
  • 作者单位

    Center for Research on International Economics, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee;

    rnWehle School of Business, Canisius College;

    rnCenter for Research on International Economics, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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