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首页> 外文期刊>Mathematical Problems in Engineering >A Dynamic Approach to Measuring China's Provincial Energy Supply Security along 'the Belt and Road'
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A Dynamic Approach to Measuring China's Provincial Energy Supply Security along 'the Belt and Road'

机译：“一带一路”沿线衡量中国省级能源供应安全的动态方法

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摘要

Using a dynamic model from 2005 to 2015, this study assessed China's energy supply security in the provinces along "the Belt and Road". Energy supply security was conceptualized across four dimensions: availability, affordability, acceptability, and energy technology and efficiency. A dynamic model was used to calculate the dynamic weights for each indicator and to examine the variation laws. It was found that the acceptability dimension indicator weights had rapidly increased, indicating that energy supply security had been widely accepted. Smooth weights were found for the availability dimension indicators, indicating that the resources needed to protect basic energy supplies were available. A synthetical energy supply security evaluation index was also analyzed for each "Belt and Road" province using a "quadratic weighting" method, which showed that the index was different in the same provinces in different years and different for different provinces in the same year. For 14 "Belt and Road" provinces, the overall energy supply security was found to have a "V" shape and a general dynamic upward trend, with the trends in the northwest and southeast provinces and along the whole "Belt and Road" found to be consistent. The energy supply security differences between these provinces were analyzed deeply in this paper; it will help us to understand the strengths and weaknesses of energy supply security levels in these provinces. The result will make it easier to cooperate with other provinces or countries along the "Belt and Road" in energy supply.
机译：本研究使用2005年至2015年的动态模型，评估了“一带一路”沿线各省的中国能源供应安全。能源供应安全性从四个方面进行概念化：可用性，可承受性，可接受性以及能源技术和效率。使用动态模型计算每个指标的动态权重并检查变化规律。发现可接受性指标的权重迅速增加，表明能源供应安全已被广泛接受。可用性维度指标的权重平滑，表明存在保护基本能源供应所需的资源。还使用“二次加权”方法对每个“一带一路”省的综合能源供应安全评估指标进行了分析，结果表明该指标在同一年份的不同省不同，而在不同年份的省不同。同年。在14个“一带一路”省中，总体能源供应安全性呈“ V”形且呈总体动态上升趋势，其趋势在西北和东南部省份以及整个“带”中与Road “被发现是一致的。本文对这些省份之间的能源供应安全差异进行了深入分析。这将有助于我们了解这些省份能源供应安全水平的优缺点。结果将使与“一带一路”沿线的其他省份或国家在能源供应方面的合作更加容易。

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  • 来源
    《Mathematical Problems in Engineering》 |2018年第6期|3605024.1-3605024.16|共16页
  • 作者

    Li Pin; Zhang Jin-suo; Xu Jian; Wang Ping;

  • 作者单位

    Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Safety Sci & Engn, Xian 710054, Shaanxi, Peoples R China;

    Yanan Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Yanan 716000, Peoples R China;

    Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Res Ctr Energy Econ & Management, Xian 710054, Shaanxi, Peoples R China;

    Xian Univ Sci & Technol, Res Ctr Energy Econ & Management, Xian 710054, Shaanxi, Peoples R China;

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