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Stability and Hopf Bifurcation Analysis of an Epidemic Model by Using the Method of Multiple Scales

机译:基于多尺度方法的流行病模型的稳定性和Hopf分支分析

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摘要

A delayed epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate which depends on the ratio of the numbers of susceptible and infectious individuals is considered. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the effects of time delay on the stability of the equilibria are studied. By choosing time delay as bifurcation parameter, the critical value of time delay at which a Hopf bifurcation occurs is obtained. In order to derive the normal form of the Hopf bifurcation, an extended method of multiple scales is developed and used. Then, the amplitude of bifurcating periodic solution and the conditions which determine the stability of the bifurcating periodic solution are obtained. The validity of analytical results is shown by their consistency with numerical simulations.
机译:考虑具有非线性发生率的时滞流行病模型,该模型取决于易感和感染个体的数量之比。通过分析相应的特征方程,研究了时延对平衡稳定性的影响。通过选择时延作为分叉参数,可以得到发生霍普夫分叉的时延的临界值。为了推导霍普夫分支的正常形式,开发并使用了多种尺度的扩展方法。然后,获得了分叉周期解的幅值和确定分叉周期解的稳定性的条件。分析结果与数值模拟的一致性表明了分析结果的有效性。

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  • 来源
    《Mathematical Problems in Engineering》 |2016年第9期|2034136.1-2034136.8|共8页
  • 作者

    Wang Wanyong; Chen Lijuan;

  • 作者单位

    Henan Univ Engn, Coll Sci, Zhengzhou 451191, Peoples R China;

    Henan Univ Engn, Coll Sci, Zhengzhou 451191, Peoples R China;

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  • 正文语种 eng
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